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2024-12-14 12:07:44

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)Yin Xiyue continued to exercise the presidential power to submit the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly. According to the information system of the Korean National Assembly's motion, South Korean President Yin Xiyue submitted the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly on the 12 th, and said that "with the end of the term of office of the chief justice, in order to appoint a successor judge, the consent of the National Assembly is requested." Yin Xiyue delivered a speech to the people on the 12th, refused to end his term of office ahead of schedule, and successively approved 42 bills and enforcement orders, and also submitted a consent case for the appointment of the chief justice to continue to exercise the presidential power. According to the Korean Constitution, the Chief Justice shall be submitted by the President of the Grand Court of Korea (the High Court) and appointed by the President with the consent of the National Assembly. (CCTV News)


The consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the victory precision fell. Fenda Technology, Bird, Darui Electronics, Chuanyi Technology and Guanghong Technology followed suit.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.


The consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the victory precision fell. Fenda Technology, Bird, Darui Electronics, Chuanyi Technology and Guanghong Technology followed suit.Hebai Group: With the help of policy dividends, it will further stimulate new consumer demand and help the company's sales promotion. Hebai Group (000417) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company's top 100 electrical appliances actively grasped the new round of "trade-in" policy opportunity, adhered to "policy+activity" to stimulate new consumption potential, and quickly launched more than 33,000 subsidized goods in 8 categories of household appliances and 24 categories of smart homes. Since the implementation of the national subsidy policy in 2024, there have been more than 100,000 rejuvenation machines in stores in Anhui Province, with sales exceeding 400 million yuan, and the sales of household appliances in stores increased by 121% year-on-year. In the next step, the company will seize the time window, continue to integrate resources, closely focus on the national subsidy policy for household appliances in Anhui Province and Hefei consumer vouchers, and further stimulate new consumer demand with the help of policy dividends to help the company's sales increase.Shanghai Securities: The pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. The Shanghai Securities Research Report pointed out that with the support of policies and the adjustment of the internal structure of the industry, the pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. It is suggested to pay attention to five directions: 1) Innovative drugs (with strong national policy support, the payment terminal is expected to further improve and go to sea to occupy the global market); 2)CXO (the negative impact of the biosafety bill event has been eliminated, and the demand for orders in the superimposed interest rate reduction cycle has increased, which is expected to usher in a double repair of performance and valuation); 3) Imitation and innovation (centralized procurement is expected to clear up, increase innovation, and traditional pharmaceutical companies will usher in new opportunities); 4) Traditional Chinese Medicine (the national policy supports the innovation of traditional Chinese medicine, and its performance is expected to maintain a good growth rate); 5) Medical devices (equipment updating, high-consumption innovation, low-consumption going to sea, etc.). Individual stocks can be concerned about: Baekje Shenzhou, Wuxi PharmaTech, China Resources Sanjiu and so on.

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